Modelling of malaria admission cases for children under five years using Sarima model:(A case of Kakamega county referral hosipital)/ (Record no. 86762)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02568nam a22002057a 4500
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field KE-MeUCS
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20200302122244.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 200302b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
Source
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency
Transcribing agency KE-MeUCS
Modifying agency KE-MeUCS
050 ## - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number RA644.T4 2019
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Theuri, Berengu Patrick
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Modelling of malaria admission cases for children under five years using Sarima model:(A case of Kakamega county referral hosipital)/
Statement of responsibility, etc Patrick Berengu Theuri
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Meru:
Name of publisher, distributor, etc Patrick Berengu Theuri,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2019.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent ix,44pg:.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Includes index
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc Malaria has become a killer disease to children in Kakamega county and children under age of five years are the most vulnerable to malaria. Lack of forecasting using available data on malaria indicators hinders the monitoring of temporal trends, be it in control of disease or evaluation of intervention impacts. The ability to predict malarial incidence accurately is a major milestone in the control and management of the disease. This study therefore sought to model malaria admission cases for children under five years suing SARIMA model in Kakamega County Referral Hospital. The objectives of the study were, to fit SARIMA model for malaria case admission cases for children under five and apply the derived SARIMA model to forecast malaria admission cases for children under five years.Seconadry data from Kakamega County Referral Hospital record was used.Box Jenkins methodology was used to derive SARIMA model.Adequacy of the SARIMA model generated was checked through normality test.The appropriate model generated was SARIMA (0,2,2,)*(0,2,2,)12. SARIMA model generated was used to forecasts malaria admission cases for children under five years for the period 2017-2022.The forecasts portray a slow decrease in malaria case admission for children under five years at the Kakamega County Referral Hospital. The study recommends this model to be used by the government for planing,designing an effective prevention and control strategy for malaria admission cases for children under five years at the County level. The study further recommends that Kakamega County Referral Hospital management staff should ensure that the hospital has sufficient and effective malaria drugs and screening equipment. This will help them respond to malaria cases that are reported at the hospital for children under five years of age especially from the moth of March to August every year when malaria admission cases are on the increase.
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Library of Congress Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Cataloguer
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Cataloger Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Library of Congress Classification     Meru University Meru University Open Shelves 02/03/2020       RA644.T4 2019 19-32925 02/03/2020 02/03/2020 Thesis

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